Strong Delivery in a Tough Market
OrderYOYO A/S (“OrderYOYO” or the “Company”) continued the Company’s strong performance in Q3-23, showing 38% ARR growth, amounting to DKK 256m and a net revenue growth of 44%, amounting to DKK 65m in Q3-23. Moreover, profitability continued to improve, and the EBITDA margin (before other extraordinary items) amounted to 11.5%, compared to 4.2% the same quarter last year, showcasing a continuing trend regarding profitability. By solving digital challenges for restaurants and a steady expansion of its product offerings, something that is expected to attract a greater number of restaurant partners and create upselling opportunities, OrderYOYO is estimated to continue to deliver profitable growth. Based on an EV/S-multiple of 3.9x on the 2023 forecast and adjusted for OrderYOYO’s net debt, a potential fair value of DKK 10.2 per share (10.2) is derived in a Base scenario.
- Continued Growth in Difficult Conditions
The ARR grew 38% and amounted to DKK 256m in September 2023 compared to DKK 185m in September 2022, showcasing a continued strong growth during Q3-23. Moreover, the Q3-23 net revenue reached DKK 65m, in contrast to DKK 45m in Q3-22, reflecting an increase of 44% Y-Y. Thus, OrderYOYO continues to exhibit robust top-line growth, notwithstanding persistent macroeconomic challenges. Restaurant partners in the Company’s second-largest market, the UK, continues to be affected by high inflation and a lack of supply of goods in the economy, while consumers continue to grapple with inflation and rising interest rates. Although inflation is now trending downward in several markets, OrderYOYO’s performance in the current climate is perceived as strong and indicative of the Company’s resilient value proposition.
- Economies of Scale are Increasing Profitability
EBITDA before other extraordinary items amounted to DKK 7.5m in Q3-23, in contrast to DKK 1.9m in Q3-22, corresponding to a growth of 295% and resulting in a margin of 11.5% (4.2%). Furthermore, OrderYOYO has been Cash EBITDA positive (defined as EBITDA before other extraordinary items minus capitalized R&D expenditures) in all months since June 2023, which means that the Company is self-sustaining and independent of external capital. The continued improved profitability is assumed to be a result of OrderYOYO being a market leader and increased economies of scale resulting from the Company’s consolidation strategy.
- Intact Valuation Range
As OrderYOYO developed in line with our expectations during Q3-23, we have only made small adjustments in our estimates, mostly regarding costs as we anticipate some investments regarding staff during Q4-23. However, we still consider OrderYOYO to be well positioned to continue to deliver profitable growth and thus we repeat our valuation range in a Base, Bull and Bear scenario.
Ledning & Styrelse
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