An Undervalued PropTech Company
Since the IPO in 2021, Movinn (”Movinn” or the ”Company”) has showed a strong revenue growth of 31% in the last year, while being profitable on an EBITDA level with an EBITDA of DKK 4.8m, corresponding to a profit margin of 7% (LTM). Despite great fundamental performance, the stock has dropped 36% since the IPO, corresponding to a current valuation of DKK ~92m, creating an investment opportunity according to Analyst Group. Movinn is expected to decrease the investments needed to add new units from 2023 and onwards, leading to improved cash flow and ROIC, as well as growing the Company’s profitability as a result of the inhouse developed IT-infrastructure. With an estimated EBITDA of DKK 11.3m, and with an applied target multiple of EV/EBITDA 16x, a potential fair value per share of DKK 10.2 is derived in a Base scenario.
- Capitalizing on Strong Market Trends
Many western countries are currently experiencing a shortage in skilled labor force, why foreign workforce is growing in demand. In Germany, a country with the second most expats in the world, the government are currently planning to reform its immigration legislation to make it easier for third country nationals to work in Germany. Movinn is expected to capitalize on this as the Company’s main customers are companies who needs accommodations for employees.
- A Leading PropTech Company
Movinn has developed an IT-infrastructure consisting of a management system, which secures automation and efficiency in sales, a booking platform and an access system inhouse, which helps the Company provide quality service and maintain a slim organization. Due to the IT systems, a lot of the processes, such as real time availability on the website, rental contracts and key handovers, are automated. This enables the total need of additional employees to grow at a slower pace than revenues, which proves the scalability in the business model, owing to Movinn’s IT systems.
- Less Investments is Expected to Drive Cash Flow
During the last years, the number of units have grown from 179 at the end of Q3-20 to 440 at the end of 2022. While this has driven the revenue growth, a lot of investments have been made in connection to unit growth, such as furniture and cash deposits. Going forward, Movinn is expected to decrease the investments needed when adding a unit, by renting apartments that are already furnished, as well as replacing security deposits with rental guarantees, which is expected to improve ROIC and cash flow.
- Trading at an Unmotivated Discount
Since the IPO in November 2021, Movinn’s stock has fallen ~36%, despite the Company delivering fundamentally. Today, Movinn is valued at EV/EBITDA 9.1x on our 2023 estimated EBITDA, which Analyst Group consider to bee too low, given Movinn’s growth prospects, low net debt and expected positive cash flow around the corner.
Ledning & Styrelse
Samtliga analyser av bolag från och med år 2020 betygssätts utifrån ett nytt betygssystem - Värdedrivare, Historisk Lönsamhet och Ledning & Styrelse sträcker sig från 1 till 10, där 10 är högsta betyg. Riskprofil sträcker sig från 1 till 10, där 10 är att anse som högst risk. Aktieanalyser av bolag publicerade innan 2020 har betygssatts utifrån en annan modell.